Introduction
A made-up reference is the most familiar kind of chatbot error, and one of the most instructive. It looks finished and checkable, which is why it gets copied into reports and essays.
This walkthrough takes one fabricated citation and works out what made it convincing, how it was produced, which checks failed to catch it, and which one succeeded. The conversation, the assistant's replies, the authors, and the journals are all invented. No real product or publication is described.
The Starting Point
A manager is writing a proposal to add quiet rooms to an open-plan office. She asks an AI assistant:
Is there research showing that background noise in open-plan offices reduces people's ability to concentrate?
The assistant replies:
Yes. Research has consistently found that background noise, especially overheard speech, impairs concentration in open-plan offices. For example, Halvorsen and Tate (2019) found that workers exposed to intermittent speech made 23 percent more errors on sustained-attention tasks. Reference: Halvorsen, R., and M. Tate. 2019. "Ambient Speech and Sustained Attention in Open-Plan Offices." Journal of Workplace Cognition 14 (2): 113–129.
The first sentence is a fair summary of a real body of research. The article, its authors, the journal, and the 23 percent figure don't exist.
Walking Through the Diagnosis
Step 1: List what makes the citation look right
Take the reference apart and look at each piece.
- The authors are two surnames with initials, in the usual format.
- The year is recent enough to be relevant and old enough to have been cited.
- The title names the topic of the question in the vocabulary of the field.
- The journal's name sounds like a specialist journal that ought to exist.
- The volume, issue, and page range are in plausible proportion.
- The finding is a single precise number.
Every piece matches the form of a real citation, and that's all it matches. Nothing in the list is evidence that the article exists. A reader who checks form, which is what a quick glance does, will pass it.
Step 2: Explain how next-token prediction produces each part
A language model writes one token at a time, each chosen as a likely continuation of the text so far. A token is a piece of text, such as a word or part of a word.
Follow the reply as it's generated. After "For example," text of this kind usually continues with a study. After a pair of surnames and a year, a finding follows. After "Reference:" comes a pattern the model has seen a very large number of times: names, year, quoted title, journal, volume, pages. Each slot gets filled with something likely for that slot.
The model has plenty of material for a general claim about noise and concentration, because many documents say similar things. It has much less for the exact authors, title, and page range of any one article, each of which may have appeared only a handful of times in training. So it produces a reference with the right shape and invented contents. The authors of a 2025 preprint on this problem describe the outcome as "plausible yet incorrect statements," and they trace it to training and testing that reward a guess over an admission of uncertainty (Kalai et al. 2025, abstract).
At no point did the assistant look anything up. Unless it's connected to a search tool and uses it, there is no step at which a reference is compared with a list of real publications.
Step 3: Rephrase the question and watch the citation change
The manager opens a new conversation and asks the same thing in other words:
What studies have looked at whether office noise affects focus?
This time the reply cites "Halvorsen and Price (2017)," in the "Quarterly Review of Office Studies," reporting an 18 percent drop in task accuracy.
One surname survived. The co-author, year, journal, and figure all changed. A real article has one set of details, and they don't depend on how you ask. Details that shift with the wording were generated on the spot. This is the first check that produced a warning.
The warning has a limit. Had the citation come back identical, that wouldn't have shown it was real. A model can repeat the same fabrication.
Step 4: Ask the assistant whether it's sure
Back in the first conversation, the manager asks:
Are you sure the Halvorsen and Tate article exists?
Two replies are common. In one, the assistant confirms: yes, the article appeared in the Journal of Workplace Cognition in 2019. In the other, it apologizes, says it can't verify the reference, and may offer a replacement.
Neither settles anything. The confirmation is generated the same way the citation was, as a likely continuation of the conversation. The apology is too. A challenge from a user is often followed, in the text models learn from, by a retraction, so assistants sometimes withdraw correct statements when asked "are you sure?" A 2023 study found that models steered toward wrong answers wrote confident explanations that left out what had steered them, and its authors concluded that such explanations "can be plausible yet misleading" (Turpin et al. 2023, abstract). The assistant's report on its own reliability is more output, and it has no way to inspect where the citation came from.
Step 5: Check against a library catalog and record the result
The manager searches a library catalog and a scholarly search engine for three things.
- The article title, in quotation marks: no results.
- The journal: no journal of that name is listed.
- The authors together with the topic: nothing that matches.
She records the result: no trace of the article, the journal, or the figure. This check works because it compares the citation with something outside the model. She then searches the catalog for the topic and finds real studies of office noise, which she reads before citing.
Key Considerations
"Hallucination" is the field's standard word for this, and the term is contested. Critics point out that it borrows from human perception and suggests the model saw something that wasn't there, when the model perceives nothing. Some writers prefer "fabrication" or "confabulation." All three words name the same thing: fluent output that is false or unsupported.
The common mistake is to treat a detailed, confident answer as more likely to be true. With a person, detail is weak evidence of knowledge, since someone who gives a page number has probably seen the page. With a language model the inference fails. Precise details are where its errors concentrate, because they are what its training text supports least. A page range costs the model nothing to produce.
A second mistake is to throw out the whole reply. The general claim about noise and concentration was sound. The diagnosis applies to the specifics.
Summary
The citation was convincing because every part had the right form, and it was caught only by a check outside the model.
What was fabricated: the article, its authors, the journal, and the 23 percent figure. The general claim was sound.
Why the mechanism produced it: the model filled the familiar pattern of a citation with likely contents, and nothing compared the result with real publications.
What didn't detect it: the reply's tone, its level of detail, and asking the assistant whether it was sure.
What did: rewording the question, which changed the details, and a search of a library catalog, which found nothing.
- The first line separates the sound part of the reply from the invented part.
- The second line is the explanation to reach for whenever a precise detail turns out to be false.
- The third and fourth lines are the practical result: checks that stay inside the conversation are weak, and checks against an outside source are strong.
References
- Kalai, Adam Tauman, Ofir Nachum, Santosh S. Vempala, and Edwin Zhang. 2025. "Why Language Models Hallucinate." arXiv:2509.04664. Preprint.
- Turpin, Miles, Julian Michael, Ethan Perez, and Samuel R. Bowman. 2023. "Language Models Don't Always Say What They Think: Unfaithful Explanations in Chain-of-Thought Prompting." arXiv:2305.04388. NeurIPS 2023.